Friday, October 11, 2013

Poll Data Explained

    Pres. Obama's approval rating is 43% with the voting public. That seems high.
    Congress' approval rating with the voting public is 5%. That seems low.
    The voting public is actually composed of 48% Democrats or Democrat leaning versus 43% Republicans or Republican leaning.
    There are a few intellectually sophisticated Democratic voters. Most of these are in government or government supporting with big money, such as George Soros or Barbara Streisand. However, the majority are what Rush Limbaugh calls low information voters. This means that most Democratic voters have no idea of or interest in current issues or the future of government. They vote Democratic on the basis that their forebears voted Democratic for the last several generations. Democrats are considered to be open-minded with a liberal philosophy, and that sounds good. Democrats realize that whenever they have a deficiency of livelihood based on their own incapabilities or lack of effort, government will give them a handout.
    Republican voters are generally reasonably well-educated, successful in business through their own hard work, cognizant of current problems, and concerned about the future of the country as it slowly turns socialistic, with increasing preponderance of takers and decreasing suppliers.
    With that background, it is expected that essentially all Democrats would give Pres. Obama a favorable job approval rating. Since the actual number of 43% is a little lower than the Democratic composition of 48%, it appears that there are a few defectors.
    With respect to the approval rating of Congress, most Democrats would think in terms of the House of Representatives, which is challenging the status quo of government and which are a possible danger to the continued program of government handouts. The result is that Congress will have 0% support from Democrats. On the other hand, many Republicans being concerned more with issues and also probably being more shortsighted with respect to the overall future of government, don't like the present government shutdown and hold the total Congress (Representatives and Senators) responsible. If that number constitutes three quarters of Republican voters or Republican leaners, it means only about one quarter would show Congressional approval. One quarter of 43% Republicans is 10%. This is higher than the observed 5%, but pretty close.

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